Nubwo mu gice cya kabiri cya 2022, imiti ikoreshwa mu ngufu n'ibindi bicuruzwa byinjiye mu cyiciro cyo gukosora, ariko abasesenguzi ba Goldman Sachs muri raporo iheruka bakomeje gushimangira ko ibintu by'ibanze bigaragaza ukwiyongera kw'imiti ikoreshwa mu ngufu n'ibindi bicuruzwa bitarahinduka, bizakomeza kuzana inyungu nziza umwaka utaha.
Ku wa kabiri, Jeff Currie, umuyobozi wa Goldman Sachs Commodity Research, na Samantha Dart, umuyobozi w’ubushakashatsi ku byuka karemano, biteze ko igipimo cy’ibicuruzwa binini nk’inganda zikora imiti, bivuze ko igipimo cy’inyungu rusange cya S&P GSCI gishobora kongera inyungu ya 43% muri 2023 nyuma y’inyungu ya 20% muri uyu mwaka.
(Icyitonderwa cy'ibicuruzwa byose bya S&P Kospi, isoko: Ishoramari)
GUmusaza Sachs yiteze ko isoko mu gihembwe cya mbere cya 2023 rishobora kugira ibibazo bimwe na bimwe mu bijyanye no kugabanuka k'ubukungu, ariko isoko rya peteroli na gaze karemano rizakomeza kwiyongera.
Uretse ikigo cy’ubushakashatsi cy’umugurisha, imari shingiro irimo no gukoresha zahabu na feza nyabyo kugira ngo igaragaze icyizere cy’igihe kirekire ku bicuruzwa. Dukurikije amakuru yashyizwemo na Bridge Alternative, amashuri makuru 15 ya mbere yibanda ku isoko ry’ibicuruzwa muri uyu mwaka, ingano y’umutungo icungwa kuva kuri miliyari 50% kugeza kuri miliyari 20.7 z’amadolari.
Goldman Sachs yasoje avuga ko hatabayeho igishoro gihagije cyo kongera ubushobozi bw'umusaruro, ibicuruzwa bizakomeza kugabanuka mu gihe kirekire, kandi igiciro kizakomeza kuzamuka no guhinduka cyane.
Ku bijyanye n'intego zihariye, Goldman Sachs yiteze ko peteroli isanzwe, ubu iri ku madolari 80 kuri buri kirahuri, izazamuka ikagera ku madolari 105 mu mpera za 2023; kandi igiciro cya gaze karemano yo muri Aziya gishobora kuzamuka kikava kuri miliyoni 33 z'amadolari kikagera kuri 53 z'amadolari.
Mu gihe cya vuba aha, hagaragaye ibimenyetso byo kuzamuka kw'isoko rishoboye, kandi imiti yazamutse cyane.
Ku itariki ya 16 Ukuboza, mu bicuruzwa 110 byakurikiranwaga na Zhuochuang Information, ibicuruzwa 55 byiyongereye muri uru rugendo, bingana na 50.00%; ibicuruzwa 26 byagumyeho, bingana na 23.64%; ibicuruzwa 29 byagabanutse, bingana na 26.36%.
Ukurikije ibintu runaka, PBT, polyester filament, na benhypenhydronic biraboneka.
PBT
Vuba aha, ibiciro ku isoko rya PBT byarazamutse, kandi inyungu zarazamutse. Kuva mu Ukuboza, inganda za mbere zatangiye kuzamuka ku isoko, aho abakora ibikoresho by’ibanze bagabanyije imitungo, kandi mu gihe cyo gushyiraho ibikoresho by’ibanze, imitekerereze yo gufata ibicuruzwa yariyongereye, isoko rya PBT rigabanuka, igiciro cyarazamutse gato, inyungu mu nganda zirahinduka.
Imbonerahamwe y'ibiciro bya PBT pure resin mu Burasirazuba bw'Ubushinwa
POY
Nyuma ya "Golden Nine Silver Ten", icyifuzo cy'imigozi ya polyester cyaragabanutse cyane. Abakora bakomeje kunguka inyungu, kandi intego y'igikorwa ikomeje kugabanuka. Mu mpera z'Ugushyingo, intego y'igikorwa cya Poy150D yari yuan 6,700 kuri toni. Mu Kuboza, ubwo icyifuzo cya nyuma cyagarukaga buhoro buhoro, kandi ubwoko bw'imigozi ya polyester bwari bwinshi mu mafaranga, abakora bagurishaga ku giciro gito, maze raporo izamuka umwe umwe. Abakoreshaga bari bafite impungenge ko ikiguzi cyo kugura mu gihe cya nyuma cyiyongereye. Umwuka w'isoko rya polyester filament wakomeje kuzamuka. Hagati mu Kuboza, igiciro cya Poy150D cyari yuan 7075 kuri toni, ubwiyongere bwa 5.6% ugereranije n'ukwezi gushize.
PA
Isoko rya benhynhydr ryo mu gihugu rimaze hafi amezi abiri rirangiye, kandi isoko ryazanye igabanuka rikomeye ry’izamuka ...
Mu by’ukuri, hari abasesenguzi bamwe na bamwe ubu batekereza ko ingaruka z’ihungabana ry’ubukungu zitagabanyijwe agaciro. Ed Morse, umuyobozi w’ubushakashatsi ku bicuruzwa muri Citigroup, yavuze muri iki cyumweru ko impinduka zishobora kubaho mu cyerekezo cy’amasoko y’ibicuruzwa, bigakurikirwa n’ihungabana ry’ubukungu ku isi, byateza ikibazo gikomeye ku rwego rw’umutungo.
Ni mu gitondo cya kare, hategereje ko icyifuzo kigabanuka, nk'uko Youliao abivuga. Mu 2013, icyifuzo cy'Ubushinwa cyagizweho ingaruka n'icyorezo, mu gihe izamuka ry'ibiciro ryagabanyije buhoro buhoro icyifuzo cyo mu mahanga. Nubwo isoko ryiteze ko umuvuduko wo kuzamuka kw'ibiciro bya Fed uzagabanuka, ariko ingaruka ku bukungu nyakuri zizagenda zigaragara buhoro buhoro, bigatuma izamuka ry'ibiciro rigabanuka. Kugabanuka kwa politiki y'Ubushinwa yo gukumira icyorezo byashyize imbaraga mu kugarura umusaruro, ariko urwego rw'ibanze rw'ubwandu rushobora gukomeza guteza imbogamizi z'igihe gito. Kuzamuka kw'ibiciro mu Bushinwa bishobora gutangira mu gihembwe cya kabiri.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Ukuboza-22-2022