Kuva uyu mwaka watangira, isoko rya propylene oxide ryakuyeho igabanuka ryari rimaze amezi 3 rikongera kwinjira mu nzira yo kuzamuka. Ku ya 1 Werurwe, igiciro cya propylene oxide ku isoko cyari 10.300 yuan (igiciro cya toni, kimwe kiri hasi), hamwe n'izamuka rya 15.15% kuva uyu mwaka. Inganda zizera ko, bitewe n'ibiciro n'ibicuruzwa, isoko rya propylene oxide ryoroshye kuzamuka mu gihe gito; Ariko mu gihe kirekire, bitewe n'ubushobozi bushya bw'amafaranga, ubwiyongere buragoye kuramba.
Igiciro cyazamutse kigera ku rwego rwo hejuru
Nyuma y'ibiruhuko by'iserukiramuco ry'impeshyi, ibiciro bya oxyde oxyde byazamutse cyane, kandi igiciro cy'ikigereranyo kiri munsi y'ukwezi kimwe cyazamutse kirenga Yuan 700, bivuze ko cyiyongereyeho 7.83%. Kuri ubu, cyazamutse kugeza ku rwego rwo hejuru kuva mu Ukwakira umwaka ushize.
“Mu minsi ishize, amasoko ya okiside yagaragaje iterambere rizamuka. Nubwo igiciro muri Gashyantare cyagabanutse gato, bishingiye ku nkunga y’ibikoresho fatizo bihenze, inzira zo kugabanya ibiciro zagabanutse cyane.” Umusesenguzi w’amakuru wa Zhuo Chuang, Feng Na, yavuze ko kugaruka kwa okiside ya okiside ari ngombwa. Ntiragaruka neza kandi ifite uburyo bwo gukurikirana buke, kandi isoko ryo hasi riragabanuka mu rugero ruto mu gihe cy’ihindagurika. Dukurikije imibare ituruka mu bigo by’ubucuruzi, kuva hagati muri Mutarama kugeza ku ya 6 Gashyantare, igiciro mpuzandengo cy’isoko rya okiside cyahoraga gitungurana kuva kuri yuan 9150 kugera kuri yuan 9183.
Mu ntangiriro za Gashyantare, bitewe no kuzamuka buhoro buhoro kw'ikiguzi cy'ibikoresho bya terminal, abakora bari bafite icyizere gikomeye. Bitewe n'ikiguzi, ikirere cyo hasi cyo kugura cyarazamutse. Kuva ku ya 6 Gashyantare kugeza ku ya 10, igiciro mpuzandengo cy'isoko rya oxide cyavuye kuri yuan 9.150 kigera kuri yuan 9633.33, kandi igiciro cya toni cyazamutseho hafi yuan 500. Bigeze hagati muri Gashyantare, nubwo igiciro cya terminal cyakomeje, itegeko ntiryatanzwe umwaka ushize, kandi isoko rya terminal rifite amakimbirane agaragara n'ibiciro biri hejuru. Rimanuka kuri interineti rigera hafi kuri yuan 9.550. Mu mpera za Gashyantare, ibikoresho byinshi ku ruhande rw'ibicuruzwa byagabanutse mu musaruro, kandi inkunga y'ikiguzi yari ikomeye. Igipimo cya methane cya epoxy cyongeye kuzamuka. Ku ya 17 Gashyantare kugeza ku ya 24, igiciro mpuzandengo cya oxide patelletide cyazamutseho hafi yuan 300, ubwiyongere bwa 3.32%.
Igihe gito cyoroshye kuzamuka ariko kigoye kumanuka
Abantu benshi bemera ko ikintu cy'ingenzi gituma isoko rya propylene oxide rizamuka ari uruhande rw'ibiciro n'ibicuruzwa bihujwe. Ku isoko ry'ejo hazaza, umusesenguzi w'amakuru wa Longzhong, Chen Xiaohan, n'andi masosiyete bizera ko mu gihe gito, uruhande rw'ibicuruzwa bishya bishobora kwishyura gutinda no ku rundi ruhande rw'ikiguzi cy'inkunga ikomeye, isoko rizakomeza kuzamuka byoroshye kugabanuka.
Chen Xiaohan yagaragaje ko ubushobozi bwo gukora propylene oxide ya Tianjin Petrochemical ya toni 150.000 ku mwaka, yongewemo mu mpera za Mutarama hagati, bwafunzwe by'agateganyo ku ya 11 Gashyantare, bishobora kumara kugeza mu mpera za Werurwe. Kuri ubu, umurongo w'ibikoresho bishya bya Satellite Petrochemical bya Phase I bya toni 400.000 ku mwaka uri mu nzira yo gukosora amakosa make, kandi ibicuruzwa ntibiragurishwa kugeza ubu. Kugeza ubu, igikoresho gishya ku isoko nta bunini gifite.
Ku bijyanye n'ubushobozi bwo gukora ububiko, igikoresho cya Qi Xiangda cyapimaga toni 300.000 ku mwaka na toni 150.000 za Taixingyida ku mwaka nticyatangiye gushya nyuma yo guparika mu mpera z'umwaka ushize. Inganda zimwe na zimwe mu zikora nazo zagize ihindagurika ry'igihe gito ryo kwangirika. Muri make, igipimo rusange cy'ubushobozi bwo gukoresha oxide ku isoko ni hafi 70%, kandi icyiciro cya mbere cya gahunda ya Zhenhai Refinement and Chemical Phase toni 285.000 ku mwaka giteganijwe guparika kugira ngo gikomeze kubungabungwa. Muri rusange abacuruzi bategereza kandi bakareba uko bizagurishwa.
Muri rusange, isoko rishya rya epoxy riherutse gutanga umusaruro nta bushobozi bushya rifite, kandi hari gahunda zo kubungabunga zikomeje gusimburwa. Kubwibyo, uruhande rw'isoko ryitezweho kuba rukomeye. Ikiguzi cy'isoko gihurirana kirahamye kandi gikomeye, kandi giha isoko inkunga runaka. Kubwibyo, amahirwe yo kuzamuka kw'isoko rya okiside mu gihe gito aracyagaragaza ko byoroshye kuzamuka kandi bigoye kugabanuka.
Kuzamuka kw'igihe kirekire biragoye kuramba
Ukurikije umurongo uciriritse n'umuremure, kubera ko okiside ya propylene ikiri mu bihe bikomeye byo kwagura ubushobozi bw'umusaruro muri uyu mwaka, abahanga mu nganda bagenzuwe na gahunda nshya yo gukora ubushobozi. Mu gihe kizaza, isoko rya epoxy mu gihugu rizagorana kunoza, kandi igiciro cyitezweho guhinduka kuva kuri yuan 8.000 kugeza 11.000.
“Umwaka wa 2023 ni umwaka wa gatatu w’igogorwa ry’ubushobozi bwo gukora patelletide. Ubushobozi bushya bwo gukora ni bunini, kandi ubushobozi bushya bwo gukora nta n'ubwo bushobora gushyigikira.” Sun Shanshan, umusesenguzi muri Jin Lianchuang, yizera ko ubwo bushobozi buzaba mu buryo bw’agateganyo cyangwa mu masezerano. Iyo binjijwe ku isoko mu buryo butaziguye, ingaruka ku isoko ziragaragara cyane.
Dukurikije amakuru ariho ubu, mu gihembwe cya kabiri n'icya gatatu, hari toni 400.000 za Sinochem na Yangnong ku mwaka, toni 270.000 ku mwaka muri Zhejiang Petrochemical, na toni 300.000 ku mwaka muri Huajin y'Amajyaruguru. Byongeye kandi, Yantai Wanhua yari ifite toni 400.000 ku mwaka, ibikoresho bishya bya Binhai byari bifite toni 240.000 ku mwaka. Biteganijwe ko ubushobozi bwo kongera umusaruro buzaba butangiye gukorwa mu mpera z'uyu mwaka. Dukurikije imibare yavuye muri Jinlianchuang, muri 2023, hari toni zigera kuri miliyoni 1.888 ku mwaka ku mwaka ku buryo bwo gukora.
Wang Yibo, umushakashatsi mu Bushinwa Research Pwi, yizera ko hamwe n’ishoramari rikomeje mu bushobozi bushya bw’umusaruro, ibyago byo guhangana ku isoko rya okiside biriyongera, bishobora gutuma ibiciro by’ibicuruzwa bihindagurika nabi ndetse n’inyungu nke mu nganda. Ariko, amasosiyete akomeye azakoresha neza ibyiza byo kwihaza mu bikoresho fatizo kugira ngo agabanye ikiguzi cyo gukora. Muri icyo gihe, nyuma y’iterambere rihoraho ry’amasosiyete akomeye nabyo bishobora gukumira ingaruka ku isoko.
Kubera iyo mpamvu, bitewe n’ingaruka z’umusaruro mushya mwinshi, hazatangizwa irushanwa ku isoko ku biciro mu nganda zikora okiside. Ukurikije uko isoko rikenewe, isoko muri rusange rigaragaza ko hari intambwe yo gusana, ariko igihe cyo kugaruka ni kirekire. Sun Shanshan iteganya ko isoko rya okiside okiside rizakomeza kuba ritangaje muri 2023. Iyo nta cyiza gitunguranye kibayeho, biragoye kugira isoko riri hejuru cyangwa isoko rizamuka kandi rizamuka.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Werurwe-21-2023