Kuva mu ntangiriro z'umwaka, isoko rya silicone DMC ryahinduye igabanuka mu 2022, kandi isoko ryo kwisubiraho ryahinduwe vuba nyuma yo gutsinda. Kugeza ku ya 16 Gashyantare, igiciro cyo ku isoko cyari 17.500 (igiciro cya toni, kimwe hepfo), naho igice cy'ukwezi cyiyongereyeho 680, cyiyongereyeho 4.04%. Kugeza ubu, ibyifuzo byo hasi biratangizwa buhoro buhoro, imitekerereze yinganda ni nziza, kandi isoko rya silicon ngufi rizagenda neza.
Amezi icumi yo kugabanuka yarangije guhinduka
Ati: "Nyuma y’inganda nganda za silicon zimaze igihe kinini zigabanuka, zatangiye kuzamuka." Xiao Jing, umusesenguzi wa Anxin Futures, yagaragaje ko nyuma y’Iserukiramuco ry’itara, kubera imirimo yongeye gusubukurwa cyane y’ibikorwa remezo bitimukanwa, gahunda ya silikoni kama yarateye imbere, kandi ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga byahagaritse kugwa no kongera kwiyongera. , Isoko ryarasanwe byoroheje.
Dukurikije imibare yaturutse mu makipe y’ubucuruzi, kuva muri Werurwe 2022, isoko rya silicon DMC rifite icyerekezo cyo kumanuka ku buryo bumwe kandi kizakomeza kugeza umwaka urangiye. Kugabanuka -kwezi 10, igiciro cyo ku isoko cyagabanutseho 22.300 Yuan, igabanuka rya 57.37%. Kwinjira muri 2023, isoko ya silicon kama ryamanutse vuba, kandi kwiyongera bigeze kuri 5.8% nkuko bimeze ubu.
Raporo y’ubushakashatsi bwakozwe na Leta ishinzwe ishoramari Anxin Futures, ivuga ko usibye inyungu zo kongera gukora imishinga itimukanwa yo mu majyepfo, izindi nzego z’inganda zo mu majyepfo nazo zerekanye ko izamuka ry’imbere, kandi igiciro cya silikoni cyahagaze neza. Ishyaka rya premium no hepfo yumunsi mukuru ni ryinshi, ibicuruzwa bitangwa nyuma yikiruhuko, ibarura rya silicon ryaragabanutse cyane, kandi igiciro cyisoko cyiyongereye cyane.
Urebye ibicuruzwa byihariye byo hasi, kole 107 irakora kubera guhunika mbere yikiruhuko, kandi ibarura ryarimuwe, kandi ababikora barahagije; kubijyanye n'amavuta ya silikoni, usibye gukurura gake -ibikoresho byo hasi yibikoresho fatizo byambere, uruganda rukora ibicuruzwa, imyenda yo hepfo, imiti ya buri munsi, silicone, nibindi. Inganda zifite inzira yo gukira, zishyigikira amavuta ya silikoni muburyo bwo gukorwa nisoni; kubijyanye na kole mbisi hamwe na kole ivanze, ubushakashatsi buherutse gukorwa kuri karubone yibikoresho fatizo byiyongereye kugirango isoko ryizere. Uruganda rushyira gahunda, ibintu byateganijwe nibyiza.
Igicuruzwa gikora ku isoko nacyo gitera kuzamura ibicuruzwa biva mu bucuruzi bwa silicon. Dufashe umugabuzi muri Shandong nk'urugero.Mu minsi 8 kuva 8 kugeza 15 Gashyantare, igiciro cyibicuruzwa bya silicone DMC byakozwe na Dongyue Chemical Co., Ltd. i Shandong cyahinduwe inshuro 6, igiciro cyiyongera ku 1000. Igiciro cyibicuruzwa bya silicone DMC byakozwe ninganda zikora inganda za Luxi byahinduwe inshuro eshanu, kandi igiciro cyiyongereyeho 1.800 muri rusange.
Ibisabwa biroroshye gutwara isoko
Isoko rizamuka mugutangira isoko ya silicon DMC itangira neza?
Ushinzwe inganda za Hesheng Silicon yagize ati: "Hamwe n’ubukungu buzamuka mu buryo bwuzuye, icyifuzo cya silikoni kizagarurwa. Ikoreshwa rya silikoni kama nini ni ryinshi. Umwaka ushize, nubwo igiciro cyaba cyaragabanutse ku nyungu n’igihombo, isoko rusange ryagaragaje ko iterambere ryifashe. Igihe."
Ati: "Ibikoresho bya silikoni kama bikoreshwa cyane, bikubiyemo ibintu byose bigize ubuzima. Muri byo, inganda z’ubwubatsi zifite uruhare runini, zigera kuri 34%." Guozhong Anxin Futures yerekanye muri raporo y’ubushakashatsi ko kuva uyu mwaka, isoko ryimitungo ryatangijwe cyane. Inganda zitimukanwa zerekana uburyo rusange bwo kugarura ibintu, bizatuma ibikenerwa bya silicon silikoni ikenerwa mumitungo itimukanwa inyuma no gushariza amazu.
Byongeye kandi, iterambere ryihuse ryikinyabiziga gishya cy’ingufu nacyo kizana umwanya mushya wo gukura ku isoko rya silicone. Ishyirahamwe ry’isoko ry’imodoka zitwara abagenzi rivuga ko umuvuduko w’ingufu nshya mu modoka zitwara abagenzi wageze kuri 27,6 ku ijana mu 2022, ukazamuka ku gipimo cya 12,6 ku ijana guhera mu 2021. Mu gihe kiri imbere, igipimo cy’imodoka z’ingufu nshya kizakomeza kwiyongera vuba kandi biteganijwe ko kizagera kuri 36% mu 2023. Byumvikane ko ikoreshwa rya silika gel ikoreshwa n’ibinyabiziga bishya by’ingufu zingana na kg 20, bikubye inshuro 7 zikoreshwa n’imodoka zisanzwe z’ubucuruzi. Abasesenguzi b'Ubushinwa Merchants Futures bagaragaje ko silicone ya silicone yubushyuhe bwa silicone nziza cyane, ibikoresho byokwirinda, hamwe n’inganda nshya z’imodoka zikoresha ingufu zisabwa umutekano biragenda byiyongera, silicone itwara amashyanyarazi izakoreshwa cyane kandi ikoreshwe cyane, bityo biteganijwe ko icyifuzo cy’imodoka nshya z’ingufu za silicone giteganijwe kwiyongera.
Inkunga y'ibiciro ihagaze buhoro buhoro
Kugeza ubu, mugihe gikenewe, umubano hagati yo gutanga silikoni nibisabwa wagize ikintu cyiza, kandi ikindi kintu cyingenzi cyatumaga ibiciro byibiciro bya silicon kama -inkunga bizagenda buhoro buhoro.
Gufungura isoko Securities yerekanye ko kuruhande rumwe, igiciro cya silikoni mugihe cyambere cya silicon yinganda cyagabanutse cyane. Igiciro cy’ibicuruzwa cyari cyegereje umurongo w’ibiciro, kandi uruganda rwa silicon rwo mu gihugu rwiteguye kuzamura ibiciro rwiyongereye, bityo umwanya wo gukomeza kugabanuka kw'ibiciro wagabanutse.
Ku rundi ruhande, duhereye ku gutanga no gukenera, uruhande rutanga, inkomoko nyamukuru ya silikoni y’inganda iterwa n’ibiciro by’amashanyarazi menshi n’ibiciro by’ibicuruzwa bito, kandi igipimo cy’imikorere cyaragabanutse cyane. Vuba aha, igipimo cy’amashyiga ya silicon yinganda ya Sichuan kiri hafi 70%. Hafi ya 50%, ubushake bwibiciro byahantu hombi kuzamura igiciro bwiyongera. Kubireba uruhande rusabwa, imiyoboro yamanuka nyuma yumunsi mukuru wamatara yongeye gusubukurwa no kongera kubyara umusaruro, ibyo bikaba bigaragara mugihe gito cyimpera cyibisabwa gakondo mugihembwe cyambere cyuyu mwaka, kandi ikizere cyisoko kigenda cyiyongera buhoro buhoro. Muri icyo gihe, ubushobozi bushya bwo kubyaza umusaruro polysilicon yo hepfo ikomeje gusohora, kandi n’inganda zikora silicon zikomeje kongera umuvuduko w’ibikorwa. Abacuruzi bireba bafite icyizere ku masoko ya silicon.
Ufatanije n’ibidukikije byifashe muri iki gihe, umusaruro wa silikoni mu nganda n’imyumvire y’abacuruzi, SCIC Anxin Futures nayo yizera ko igiciro cya silicon giteganijwe gukomeza kuzamuka mu buryo bushyize mu gaciro kandi butajegajega mu rwego rwo kuzamura ubukungu bw’imbere mu gihugu. Kuva mu ntangiriro z'uyu mwaka, nubwo kugabanuka kwa silikoni mu nganda byageze kuri 5.67%, ariko hamwe no gukomera kw'ibiciro bya silikoni, inkunga y'ibiciro bya organosilicon izahinduka buhoro buhoro kuva ku ntege nke.
Muri make, ugereranije nigiciro cyumwaka ushize wa silicon kama 38.800 yuan hejuru, igiciro cyubu cya silicon kama kiracyari munsi yicyiciro cyo kuzerera, ababikora bafite icyifuzo gikomeye cyo kugarura inyungu. Biteganijwe ko ku isoko rizaza, mu rwego rwo kuzamura iterambere ry’ibidukikije bya macroeconomic, ingaruka ziterwa no gutwara impande zombi hamwe n’ibiciro bihagaze neza, isoko rya silicone DMC rimaze igihe kirekire ryatakaye bizagira amahirwe menshi yo gutera imbere.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Gashyantare-22-2023