Kwinjira mu 2023, isoko rya butadiene yo mu gihugu iri hejuru cyane, igiciro cy isoko cyiyongereyeho 22,71%, umwaka ushize wiyongera kuri 44,76%, bigera ku ntangiriro nziza.Abitabiriye isoko bemeza ko 2023 isoko rya butadiene rizakomeza, isoko rikwiye gutegerezanyije amatsiko, icyarimwe isoko rya butadiene ryimbere mu gihugu muri rusange cyangwa intera iri hejuru ya 2022, ibikorwa rusange.
Guhindagurika kw'isoko ryinshi
Umusesenguzi wa Jin Lianchuang, Zhang Xiuping, yavuze ko inganda zabaye zihebye ku isoko rya butadiene muri Mutarama kubera ingaruka z’umusaruro w’uruganda rwa Shenghong n’uruganda rukora imiti.Icyakora, biteganijwe ko hashyirwaho ibihingwa bya butadiene muri peteroli ya Zhejiang na Zhenhai Gutunganya no gutunganya imiti muri Gashyantare na Werurwe byazamuye buhoro buhoro umwuka w’isoko.Mubyongeyeho, Tianchen Qixiang na Zhejiang Petrochemical Co, LTD.'acrylonitrile - butadiene - styrene copolymer (ABS) ikenera ibihingwa bigenda byiyongera buhoro buhoro.Isoko ririmo gushakisha cyane.
N’ubwo uruganda rwa butadiene mu cyiciro cya II cya peteroli ya Zhejiang ruteganijwe gufungwa kugira ngo ruzitunganyirizwe hagati muri Gashyantare, kandi uruganda rutunganya inganda n’imiti rwa Zhenhai narwo ruteganijwe kuvugururwa mu mpera za Gashyantare, haba mu gutunganya Hainan n’uruganda rukora imiti na peteroli. Biteganijwe ko uruganda rwa peteroli rwa Guangdong ruzatangira gukoreshwa muri Gashyantare.Bitewe ningaruka zuzuye, umusaruro wa butadiene uteganijwe guhagarara neza ariko ntabwo ufite imbaraga, kandi igiciro cyisoko giteganijwe kuguma hejuru.
Urebye kurekura ubushobozi bwa bifienne muri 2023 may hashobora kuba toni miliyoni 1.04 zubushobozi bushya bwasohotse mumwaka wose, ariko gutinda kwishyiriraho bimwe ntibishobora kuvaho.Muri icyo gihe, ibyinshi mu bimera bishya byagombaga gukoreshwa mu mpera zumwaka ushize byatinze kugera mu gice cya mbere cy’uyu mwaka.Usibye gutunganya no gutunganya imiti ya Shenghong, bimwe mu bimera bya butadiene nka Dongming Petrochemical nabyo biteganijwe gukora.Mu gice cya mbere cyumwaka, byatewe no kurekura kwibanda ku bushobozi bushya bwo gutanga umusaruro, ariko itangwa rya butadiene rizagenda rigabanuka buhoro buhoro, isoko cyangwa ryerekana uburyo bwo gufungura ibintu byinshi.
Biteganijwe ko umubare muto wibikoresho bishya bya butadiene bizashyirwa mubikorwa mugice cya kabiri cyumwaka, kandi biteganijwe ko ibikoresho bishya byo hasi bizashyirwa mubikorwa.Kwiyongera kw'ibisabwa bizaba byinshi kuruta kwiyongera kw'ibicuruzwa, kandi ibintu bitangwa ku isoko bizakomeza.
Byongeye kandi, hamwe no kunoza no guhindura politiki y’ibyorezo no kongera ibyiringiro by’ubukungu buzamuka, icyifuzo rusange cy’imbere mu gihugu mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka gishobora kunozwa ugereranije n’igice cya mbere cy’umwaka, hamwe n’inkunga y’ibiciro kuri uruhande rusabwa narwo rwongerewe ugereranije nigice cyambere cyumwaka.Muri rusange ibiciro byibanda kuri butadiene nkibikoresho fatizo birenze igice cyambere cyumwaka.
Igiciro cyibikoresho fatizo biragoye kugabanuka
Nkibikoresho bya pompe, nkibikoresho fatizo bya butadiene, byashyigikiwe nubwiyongere bwibisabwa muri 2022, kandi umusaruro wamavuta yubwonko bwamabuye wakomeje kwiyongera umwaka wose.Dukurikije imibare yaturutse mu kigo cy’igihugu gishinzwe ibarurishamibare, umusaruro w’amavuta y’ubwonko bw’amabuye mu gihugu cyanjye mu 2022 wari toni miliyoni 54,78, wiyongereyeho 10.51% ugereranije n’umwaka ushize;ibicuruzwa byatumijwe mu mahanga amavuta y’ubwonko yari toni miliyoni 9.26, naho gukoresha amasaha y’ubwonko bwamabuye yari toni miliyoni 63.99 zo gukoresha toni miliyoni 63.99., Yiyongereyeho 13.21% mu mwaka ushize.
Mu 2023, hamwe n’icyorezo kigenda kigabanuka buhoro buhoro, politiki ni nziza, ubukungu bwagiye bwiyongera buhoro buhoro, umuvuduko w’ibikorwa byo hasi w’inganda zikomoka kuri peteroli uziyongera, kandi n’ibikomoka kuri peteroli yo hejuru biziyongera.Biteganijwe ko iki kibazo kizakomeza kugeza igihembwe cya gatatu.Mugihembwe cya kane, peteroli ya peteroli yinjiye mubisanzwe ikoreshwa mugihe cyigihe, kandi kubaka hasi byagabanutse.Icyifuzo cya peteroli na peteroli cyari gifite ibyago byo kugabanuka.
Muri rusange, igihe uruganda rwinjiraga mugihe cyo kubungabunga hagati yigihembwe cya kabiri, itangwa rya peteroli ryaragabanutse kandi rishyigikira izamuka ry isoko.Ariko, kubera umuvuduko witerambere ryubukungu bwisi yose hamwe nibisabwa bidahagije, kugaruka ni bike, kandi igiciro gishobora gukomeza guhinduka nyuma yuko igiciro kiri hejuru.Igihembwe cya gatatu cyari impinga yingendo gakondo.Kuri iki cyiciro, ibiciro bya peteroli ya peteroli byagarutse buhoro buhoro.Inyungu yibikoresho bimeneka byateye imbere, ibikorwa byisoko byiyongera, kandi igiciro cyibikoresho fatizo cyari cyoroshye kugera kumanuka.Mu gihembwe cya kane, isoko rya peteroli ryinjira mu bicuruzwa gakondo bitarenze ibihe, ibyifuzo byagabanutse, kandi igiciro cyamavuta yubwonko bwamabuye kizongera kugabanuka.
Dufatiye ku nganda zitunganya, kubaka byihuse umushinga wo gutunganya ikirwa cya Yulong biteganijwe ko uzashyirwa mu bikorwa mu mpera za 2023. Icyiciro cya kabiri cy’ibikorwa bya peteroli ya Hainan Hainan Gutunganya no Gutunganya imiti, Uruganda rwa Zhenhai Icyiciro cya mbere na gahunda ya peteroli ya CNOOC byari yibanze muri 2023 kugeza 2024. Iterambere ryumutungo wa peteroli yoroheje ya chimique ntagushidikanya ko ari ingirakamaro kumasoko ya peteroli, bityo rero ishyigikira epfo na ruguru harimo na butadiene mubiciro.
Kongera ibyifuzo byo hasi
Kwinjira mu 2023, ingaruka za politiki nziza nkumusoro wubuguzi wa butadiene zahinduwe neza, kandi uruganda rwo hejuru rwa rubber rwateguwe neza.Muri icyo gihe, gukomeza kunoza ingamba zo gukumira icyorezo cy’igihugu nacyo cyazanye inyungu ku isoko rya rubber.Kwiyongera gukenewe kumanuka mugihe cyibiruhuko byimpeshyi, hamwe no kugaragara kumanuka kumanuka wa butadiene, biteganijwe ko bizinjira mumasoko muntangiriro ya 2023, kandi ikibanza cya butadiene kiziyongera cyane.
Urebye kurekura ubushobozi muri 2023, ubushobozi bwa reberi ya butadiebenbenbenbenbenbenbenbenbal ifite amajwi make, ni toni 40.000 gusa / umwaka;capsule nshya capsule ifite toni 273.000;polypropilene na chunyrene -butadiene -lyzyrene ihuza isoko Isoko ryubushobozi ni toni 150.000 / kumwaka;ABS yongeyeho toni 444.900 / ku mwaka, kandi ubushobozi bushya bwo kongera umusaruro wa Tinto glue ni toni 50.000 / umwaka;Ntabwo bigoye kubona ko igikoresho gishya gihora gishyirwa mubikorwa, kandi icyifuzo cyo hasi giteganijwe kwiyongera cyane.Niba ubushobozi bwo kubyaza umusaruro bwarekuwe ku gihe, nta gushidikanya ko ari inyungu nini ku isoko rya butadiene.
Byongeye kandi, kubera ko politiki yo gukumira icyorezo muri iki gihe ikomeje kunozwa, ingaruka z’ibyorezo ku bicuruzwa bitumizwa mu mahanga n’ibyoherezwa mu mahanga bizagenda bigabanuka buhoro buhoro mu gihe kiri imbere.Dutegereje 2023, igipimo cyo kwihaza cya butadiene kiziyongera, ibicuruzwa bitumizwa mu mahanga bizakomeza kugabanuka, ariko kugarura ibyifuzo by’amahanga bizafasha ibicuruzwa byoherejwe na butadiene kurushaho kwiyongera.Kugirango turusheho kuringaniza isoko ryimbere mu gihugu nibisabwa, kongera ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga bishobora kuba intego yinganda zitanga umusaruro wa butadiene.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Gashyantare-23-2023