Mu gihe bategereje isoko ry’imitako mu 2023, abahanga mu nganda bemeza ko isoko rishobora kuba riri mu nzira yo gukora cyane no hasi. Uyu mwaka uracyari umwaka aho ubushobozi bwo gukora styrene bwazamutse cyane. Kurwanya gutakaza imvange y’ibicuruzwa mu mezi atandatu ashize birarangiye. Ibicuruzwa byo mu mahanga cyangwa gukwirakwiza ibicuruzwa mu rwego rwo kugabanya isoko ry’imbere mu gihugu. Muri icyo gihe, ubushobozi bwo kumanuka burarekurwa. Bitewe nuko inyungu iri munsi ya 2022, biragoye kongera.
Izamuka ry'umusaruro rishobora kuba 17%
“Mu 2022, ubushobozi bwa styrene yo mu gihugu buracyari ku muyoboro wo hejuru w’iterambere, kandi umuvuduko w’iterambere witezwe kugera kuri 20%, uzaba umusaruro wihuse w’uruhererekane rw’inganda mu ruhererekane rw’inganda. Bitewe no kurekura vuba ubushobozi bushya bw’umusaruro wa styrene, kwiyongera k’umusaruro n’igitutu cyo kugurisha biziyongera, kandi umuvuduko w’ikoreshwa ry’ubushobozi ntuzaba mwiza uko bishoboka kose. Biteganijwe ko ushobora kuba hafi 78%. “Umusesenguzi Kim Lianchuang, Wang Li, aremera.”
Wang Li yavuze ko muri 2023, ibikoresho bishya nka Lianyungang Petrochemical, Zibo Junchen, Guangdong Petrochemical, Zhejiang Petrochemical bishobora gushyirwa mu bikorwa, kandi igipimo cy’izamuka ry’ubushobozi bwo gukora styrene cyitezwe kugera kuri 23%. Niba gutangira gukora bitinze bitewe n’ihindagurika ry’ibitangwa n’ibikenewe, igipimo cy’izamuka ry’umusaruro wa styrene muri uyu mwaka gishobora kuba 17%.
Bitewe n’ibi, isoko rya styrene ry’uyu mwaka rikomeje kuzamuka cyangwa rifite icyerekezo cyo hejuru no hasi, kandi igiciro mpuzandengo cy’umwaka kizaba kiri munsi ya 2022. By’umwihariko, ibyari biteganyijwe ko ibiciro bizazamuka mu gihembwe cya kabiri. Ku ruhande rumwe, bitewe no gukomeza kwaguka kwa styrene muri uyu mwaka, igitutu ku musaruro mu gihembwe cya mbere cyari kinini, kandi icyifuzo cyashyizwe mu bikorwa mu gihembwe cy’impeshyi cyaragabanutse. Ku rundi ruhande, icyifuzo mu gihembwe cya kabiri cyari cyitezwe ko kizagaruka, kandi umusaruro wo hasi nawo uzakurikiraho. Mu gihembwe cya gatatu n’icya kane, itangwa rya styrene riri ku rwego rwo hejuru kandi icyifuzo cyaragabanutse buhoro buhoro, kandi igiciro gishobora kugabanuka. Ni ngombwa kumenya ko mu gihe cyo kubungabunga igikoresho cya styrene, hashobora kubaho isoko ryiyongera, ariko kwiyongera ni guke.
Byongeye kandi, ikindi kintu kigira ingaruka ku ihindagurika ry'isoko rya styrene muri uyu mwaka ni uko kurwanya ikoreshwa ry'ibicuruzwa bizarangira. Ku ya 22 Kamena 2018, Minisiteri y'Ubucuruzi yatangaje icyemezo cya nyuma cy'ubushakashatsi ku kurwanya ikoreshwa ry'ibicuruzwa biva muri Koreya y'Epfo, Tayiwani na Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika. Nyuma y'uko ikoreshwa ry'ibicuruzwa biva muri Kamena uyu mwaka rirangiye, Ubushinwa, nk'igihugu kinini ku isi gikoresha styrene, buzakurura ibitekerezo by'inganda zikora styrene ku isi. Nubwo ubushobozi bushya bw'umusaruro wa styrene yo mu gihugu bukomeza kurekurwa kandi kwishingikiriza ku bitumizwa mu mahanga bigakomeza kugabanuka, urujya n'uruza rw'ibicuruzwa ruzakomeza, kandi inzira nshya ya arbitrage izakomeza kubaho buhoro buhoro, cyangwa bizashyira igitutu ku isoko ry'imbere mu gihugu mu gihe runaka.
Umwanya w'inyungu ukomeje kugabanuka
Mu 2022, uretse inganda z’ingenuylene mu gihembwe cya gatatu, igihe gisigaye cyari mu gihombo cy’igihombo. Igihombo cy’ishingiro cya Yuan zigera ku 1.000 (igiciro cya toni, kimwe kiri hasi), hamwe n’impuzandengo ya Yuan 379 mu mwaka.
Han Xiaoxiao, umusesenguzi wa Longzhong Information, yizera ko uretse ko ubushobozi bushya bwo gukora bwarekuwe cyane, ikindi kintu cy'ingenzi ni uko ikiguzi kinini gikomeje gutera igitutu. Benzene nziza ni imwe mu bikoresho by'ingenzi bya styrene, kandi ihindagurika ry'ibiciro byayo ni ingenzi ku miterere ya styrene.
Mu gice cya mbere cya 2022, igiciro cya benzene y’umwimerere cyazamutse cyane bitewe n’uko ibicuruzwa byatanzwe byari bike ndetse n’igiciro cyo hanze cyari kinini cyane, kandi cyagabanutse mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka bitewe n’ubwinshi bw’ibikoresho byangiritse ku isoko ndetse n’ubwinshi bw’ibikoresho bya port, aho igiciro cy’umwaka cyari hafi 9.000 yuan.
Mu myaka ibiri ishize, itandukaniro ry'ibiciro hagati ya benzene nziza na styrene ryagabanutse cyane. Mu myaka yashize, itandukaniro ry'ibiciro hagati ya benzene nziza na styrene ryakomeje kuba hagati ya yuan 2000 ~ 2500, rigabanuka rigera kuri yuan 1000 ~ 1500 mu myaka ibiri ishize, rimwe na rimwe rigera kuri yuan 200 ~ 500 gusa. Muri 2022, inganda za styrene zifite ibicuruzwa zunguka neza ku bikoresho fatizo birangira benzene nziza.
Mu 2023, igiciro cya benzene nziza mu gice cya mbere cy'umwaka cyangwa shock nyinshi, igice cya kabiri cy'umwaka cyangwa ibyago byinshi byo kugwa. Hari inganda nyinshi zo hasi za benzene nziza. Ukurikije igipimo cy'ikoreshwa, styrene iracyari umusaruro munini w'ikoreshwa rya benzene nziza, ingana na 47%. Muri icyo gihe, uyu mwaka ubushobozi bwa styrene bukomeje kwiyongera cyane, icyifuzo cya benzene nziza kiracyariyongera. Mu rwego rwa "karubone ebyiri", bitewe n'uko igipimo cy'imikorere y'inganda za coking kidahagije, guhuza ibikoresho fatizo bigengwa na superimposed, byitezwe ko muri uyu mwaka igiciro cya benzene nziza kizagumana imiterere yo hejuru.
Mu gihe ibiciro biri hejuru hamwe no kuyifata, umusaruro n'imikorere y'inganda za styrene biracyahura n'igitutu kinini, umwanya w'inyungu cyangwa bizakomeza kugabanuka.
Kuvuguruzanya ku gutanga no gusaba ntibikwiye
Polystyeyrene (PS), Hair Polystyeyrene (EPS), Acryl -butadiene -Tartylene Total Poin (ABS) ni zo eshatu zikomeye zo mu gice cya styrene, zigize hafi 70% by'ikoreshwa rya styrene. Abanyamuryango bemeza ko ubushobozi rusange bw'umusaruro w'izi mashini eshatu zo mu gice cya styrene uyu mwaka buri hasi. Dukurikije ibiteganijwe ko bizatera imbere imbere, niba igice cya styrene gifite icyizere cy'ikoreshwa ry'ibikoresho fatizo, igipimo nyacyo cy'izamuka rya ABS, PS, na EPS cyitezwe cyari 12%, 6%, na 3%, cyari hasi cyane ugereranyije n'igipimo cy'izamuka ry'umusaruro cya 17% bya styrene. Ibi kandi bivuze ko kuvuguruzanya hagati y'itangwa n'isabwa rya styrene biracyari bigoye kugabanya neza.
Mu 2023, itangwa rya styrene riragenda ryiyongera buhoro buhoro. Nubwo byitezwe ko icyifuzo kiziyongera, igipimo cy’ubwiyongere kiri hasi cyane ugereranyije n’igipimo cy’ubwiyongere bwa styrene, kandi ibyoherezwa mu mahanga bizakomeza kuba umuyoboro w’ingenzi wo kugabanya igitutu cy’umusaruro n’ibicuruzwa kugira ngo bigabanye umusaruro n’ibicuruzwa. Ku bijyanye n’ibitumizwa mu mahanga, hamwe no guhagarika umusoro wo kurwanya itaka rya styrene, imisoro y’Ubushinwa na Koreya y’Epfo izagabanuka cyane. Biteganijwe ko ingano rusange y’ibitumizwa mu mahanga bya styrene mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka iziyongeraho gato. Ariko, kwiyongera kw’ibitumizwa mu mahanga bya styrene ntibizaba binini cyane bitewe n’ubwiyongere bw’ubushobozi bwo guhangana bwa RMB.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Gashyantare-16-2023